Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e37252b0117ad86609dab05c758dc8ee82ae2aa1d188d662caffa0ccff935f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 8,591$6,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.53 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 23c | 6,680$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.71 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.97 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 4,053$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.36 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 3,978$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,330$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.3 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,876$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.21 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,592$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.54 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,512$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.11 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…d5f4backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…a14dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,890$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,873$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.21 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…ff2fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,870$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,761$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,580$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.8 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…fcf3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,572$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,268$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,236$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.35 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 4c | 1,060$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed MOUZ | 39c | 999.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.59 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed MOUZ | 54c | 982.63$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.65 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 13c | 902.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 855.22$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 853.06$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 56c | 852.45$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.55 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 25c | 826.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed MOUZ | 51c | 820$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…91a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed MOUZ | 51c | 786$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.72 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 41c | 728.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 617.16$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 528.41$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked MOUZ | 52c | 527.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…92d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 512.11$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 25c | 491.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 482.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ | 28c | 462$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 445$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ | 54c | 424.14$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed MOUZ | 32c | 407.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 406.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 26c | 400.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…9085backed MOUZ | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ | 26c | 375.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed MOUZ | 15c | 367.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed MOUZ | 19c | 359.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 358$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 347.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed MOUZ | 49c | 340$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 318.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 32c | 309.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 308.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 303$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ | 24c | 294.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked MOUZ | 32c | 282.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 54c | 271.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed MOUZ | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 269.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 53c | 250.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 202$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked MOUZ | 15c | 199.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ | 53c | 187.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…fc4dbacked MOUZ | 8c | 185.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 177.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…61d9backed MOUZ | 33c | 175$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 159.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 155.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed MOUZ | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked MOUZ | 51c | 149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…51efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 144.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked MOUZ | 42c | 141.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 18c | 137.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…509cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 126$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 123$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 121.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 117.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 116.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 55c | 113.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…24e8backed MOUZ | 52c | 111.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MOUZ | 46c | 105.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed MOUZ | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ | 23c | 101.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.