Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02eca37a855ca29bbf329f985bea067b72d2f7696fffcd1be963f39c80a23ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 51c | 17,141$8,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780.9 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 7,988$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.75 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 7,398$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.31 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 52c | 7,000$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.64 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 6,149$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.01 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 6,000$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.16 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 5,979$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.26 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed MOUZ | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed MOUZ | 63c | 3,962$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.57 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 52c | 3,880$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,472$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.73 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 3,447$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.54 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,962$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,495$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.49 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,227$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.25 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ | 12c | 2,000$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,761$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.38 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,714$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.65 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,663$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.69 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,498$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.8 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,388$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,331$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,219$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.08 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,139$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,066$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 985.2$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.29 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 50c | 904.01$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 36c | 777.75$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 729.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 660$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 625.78$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 602.81$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed MOUZ | 50c | 601.18$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 54c | 600.7$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.38 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed MOUZ | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 575.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 563$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ | 49c | 511.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 504.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.02 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 52c | 498.81$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 470$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.94 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 455.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 450$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 446.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.51 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 422.23$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 407.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 385.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.29 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed MOUZ | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 13c | 383.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…f014backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 383.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 382$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 370.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed MOUZ | 53c | 342.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 319.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 287.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…2c15backed MOUZ | 53c | 259.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 235.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 229.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 14c | 206.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 204.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 204.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 203.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 201.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed MOUZ | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 198.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 182.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ | 56c | 178.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 47c | 166.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa612…3397backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 166.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed MOUZ | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 147$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed MOUZ | 51c | 117.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed MOUZ | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed MOUZ | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.