Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713d766914847ea96ac22df78457472e7393d73df22ff9c0c650ac3c100d55c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 60c | 44,766$26,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,768.53 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 38,646$15,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,153.7 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 15,614$7,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,404.32 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 14,326$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,688.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 65c | 6,300$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.9 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 6,278$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.04 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 44c | 5,482$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,736$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.87 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 52c | 3,709$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.59 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 3,220$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.25 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,532$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.56 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 2,066$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.16 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,238$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,126$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.55 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,082$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.39 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…f014backed MOUZ | 48c | 934.39$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 874$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 29c | 852.7$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 809.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed MOUZ | 39c | 734$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 61c | 718.74$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.43 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 55c | 706$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 55c | 661.79$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.47 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ | 53c | 630.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed MOUZ | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 453.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 414.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 404.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked MOUZ | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 59c | 365.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 327.37$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…7bfdbacked MOUZ | 32c | 309.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked MOUZ | 50c | 304$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 246.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed MOUZ | 61c | 243.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 234.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 208.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…2d89backed MOUZ | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 191.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed MOUZ | 36c | 185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ | 55c | 181.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 168.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 168$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 25c | 160.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 58c | 150.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed MOUZ | 58c | 148.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed MOUZ | 28c | 144.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 29c | 121.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed MOUZ | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 108.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 105.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 105.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed MOUZ | 64c | 103.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed MOUZ | 45c | 100.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed MOUZ | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…1b61backed MOUZ | 42c | 98.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed MOUZ | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked MOUZ | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ | 43c | 73.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 71.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 62.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…2c15backed MOUZ | 53c | 62.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 58c | 60.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 57.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 53.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f26cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 53.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed MOUZ | 55c | 51.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…2484backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 48.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c76…0d35backed MOUZ | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 42.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…68dbbacked MOUZ | 65c | 40.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed MOUZ | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.