Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92bfc75ecec6ebf9b3d408098d7aab106a5e352455644a9e2878f588478c64fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof LOUD, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed LOUD | 48c | 5,166$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.93 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 3,423$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.4 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 2,514$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LOUD | 11c | 1,956$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Evil Geniuses | 52c | 1,519$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.11 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Evil Geniuses | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked LOUD | 55c | 1,139$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked LOUD | 41c | 1,043$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed LOUD | 48c | 991.72$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.65 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Evil Geniuses | 48c | 975$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Evil Geniuses | 45c | 799.38$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 50c | 657.31$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed LOUD | 55c | 514.59$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…44fbbacked LOUD | 31c | 495$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 448$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 421.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.21 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked LOUD | 54c | 273.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked LOUD | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Evil Geniuses | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 172.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 163.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked LOUD | 60c | 130.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Evil Geniuses | 52c | 126.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed LOUD | 46c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…4fb3backed Evil Geniuses | 58c | 108.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Evil Geniuses | 49c | 98.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Evil Geniuses | 53c | 85.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked LOUD | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed LOUD | 51c | 71.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD | 55c | 54.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked Evil Geniuses | 66c | 35.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked LOUD | 77c | 29.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed LOUD | 39c | 29.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…3e2bbacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Evil Geniuses | 76c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…963bbacked Evil Geniuses | 56c | 17.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.