Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd365c16eaf9c999f7067e3a93b44dae3c8b5db287e3f32901c87001fe9815861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof LOUD, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Evil Geniuses | 68c | 993.77$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Evil Geniuses | 58c | 633.95$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked LOUD | 49c | 557.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 42c | 461.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LOUD | 40c | 233.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked LOUD | 48c | 214.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LOUD | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked LOUD | 26c | 158.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…4fb3backed Evil Geniuses | 76c | 141.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed LOUD | 11c | 130.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Evil Geniuses | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Evil Geniuses | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.