Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db5aba0693f884804641712eda3e4fc90c43ce82e5faed257d708dab23ae106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Chicago State Cougars, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e50…bcccbacked Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 60,500$10,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,890 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 58,500$10,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 78c | 2,633$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 1,093$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chicago State Cougars | 5c | 693$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 678.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 598.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 589.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 79c | 468$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 428.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 394.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 391.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 294.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Chicago State Cougars | 17c | 276.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 239.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 232.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 78c | 230.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 79c | 146.04$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 112.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Chicago State Cougars | 29c | 109.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 99.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 89.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…7e7dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 74.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…8649backed Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 74c | 62.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…1e15backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 56.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 55.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 50.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…3e2bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 80c | 40.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 73c | 37.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…e46dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 78c | 28.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 75c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsthis page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-9.5)Central Connecticut State Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.