TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09ff…5bedbacked Rockets44c24,723$10,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,844.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd861…94c7backed Rockets44c20,392$8,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,419.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef0…62fdbacked Kings56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,200850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…51a6backed Rockets44c8,623$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,828.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb189…33d3backed Kings56c6,071$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings57c4,880$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.681,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cbc…d838backed Rockets44c4,118$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Rockets43c3,560$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f66…c51ebacked Rockets44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Rockets46c2,978$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.2324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x719e…8a0ebacked Rockets45c2,963$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e23…0eaebacked Kings55c2,910$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…1d04backed Rockets44c2,874$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…008ebacked Rockets44c2,862$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…80f1backed Rockets44c2,861$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69fe…a659backed Rockets44c2,854$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…7be8backed Rockets44c2,842$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ce…35efbacked Rockets44c2,837$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0397…e258backed Rockets44c2,798$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc5…18cbbacked Rockets44c2,787$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc447…44ecbacked Rockets44c2,769$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fc…98d9backed Rockets44c2,765$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc60…1507backed Rockets44c2,760$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c8…87efbacked Rockets44c2,754$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0112…3578backed Kings55c2,749$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8163…7abfbacked Rockets44c2,719$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2541…5843backed Rockets44c2,700$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5750…d5e6backed Rockets44c2,684$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd59…6246backed Rockets44c2,679$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587d…6461backed Kings56c2,673$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3a…7577backed Rockets44c2,671$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a3…1df9backed Rockets44c2,670$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29db…10b8backed Rockets44c2,663$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4c…6472backed Rockets44c2,661$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7350…4d26backed Rockets44c2,659$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0c…5fdcbacked Rockets44c2,648$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…d7e5backed Rockets44c2,637$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b0…437ebacked Rockets44c2,623$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd262…1ca7backed Rockets44c2,610$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba85…94f1backed Rockets44c2,582$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6c…3dedbacked Rockets44c2,573$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cc…99ecbacked Rockets45c2,566$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…849ebacked Rockets44c2,562$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f4…2cc3backed Rockets44c2,527$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb549…be95backed Rockets44c2,516$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…9caebacked Rockets44c2,511$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de8…f246backed Rockets44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff93…b787backed Rockets44c2,496$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ab…6adbbacked Rockets44c2,478$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…a729backed Rockets44c2,476$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5af…6e76backed Rockets44c2,472$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8b…c618backed Rockets44c2,471$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…6f6ebacked Rockets44c2,466$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc744…0a68backed Rockets44c2,457$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.92540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…fe95backed Rockets44c2,444$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a4…2331backed Rockets44c2,435$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e18…62f2backed Rockets44c2,406$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae9…cf66backed Rockets44c2,392$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c3…b542backed Rockets44c2,391$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…d738backed Rockets44c2,379$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a7…d33abacked Rockets44c2,294$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9586…0a1ebacked Kings56c2,292$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73d…0889backed Kings56c2,278$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8d…bb92backed Rockets44c2,278$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ef…44d8backed Rockets44c2,274$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x448c…a0f1backed Rockets44c2,272$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…b154backed Rockets44c2,263$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…fec4backed Kings56c2,259$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8504…8373backed Kings56c2,232$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa290…d351backed Rockets44c2,214$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings54c2,213$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597f…4440backed Rockets44c2,161$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b73…eb0dbacked Rockets44c2,153$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7276…de71backed Rockets44c2,151$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb725…cd69backed Kings56c2,144$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…5f3fbacked Rockets44c2,073$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…b5a1backed Rockets44c2,056$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick56cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c3…3c4ebacked Kings55c2,030$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c2…fac7backed Rockets45c2,025$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41de…2526backed Kings56c2,004$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca31…13e8backed Rockets44c1,996$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ad…eafdbacked Kings56c1,975$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ea…21d1backed Kings56c1,965$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6409…8fa5backed Kings56c1,873$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings54c1,858$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2209…3c1bbacked Kings56c1,827$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x612a…ee25backed Rockets44c1,780$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Kings57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b25…5d50backed Rockets44c1,707$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4478…9e5fbacked Rockets44c1,666$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3d…443abacked Kings56c1,656$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets45c1,635$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1502…1488backed Rockets44c1,533$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3007…040ebacked Kings56c1,523$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6fe…1323backed Rockets44c1,514$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe503…79fcbacked Rockets44c1,487$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings55c1,477$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2642…fbf2backed Kings56c1,473$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea29…f025backed Kings56c1,401$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454e…4a0abacked Rockets44c1,399$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.