TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Under0c68,678$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.141,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3b…5337backed Under54c2,321$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc174…b909backed Over46c2,315$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…99f4backed Under54c2,287$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…aac8backed Over46c2,265$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d80…7dc1backed Over46c2,221$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde21…6688backed Over46c2,038$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb979…a2c0backed Under54c1,985$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa873…b22fbacked Over46c1,865$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e99…53ccbacked Under54c1,752$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1028…b744backed Under54c1,638$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…bf72backed Over46c1,625$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfab6…2708backed Over46c1,621$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0c…64d2backed Under54c1,555$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa853…3e41backed Under54c1,505$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8a…a6e7backed Under54c1,381$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b16…0389backed Under54c1,375$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c4…d659backed Over46c1,317$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d7…575ebacked Under54c1,311$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ff…5b40backed Under54c1,210$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c1,137$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over46c1,135$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.0487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2b…f908backed Over46c1,125$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb059…f1b6backed Over46c1,121$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff6f…ed8cbacked Under54c1,001$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b6…b74bbacked Over46c998$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ac…5e79backed Under54c961$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7c…6bdbbacked Under54c933$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c919.52$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54dd…d42bbacked Under54c907$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c1…48b2backed Over46c858$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487b…8b70backed Over46c840$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x036a…98d3backed Under54c822$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6995…2336backed Over46c815$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5f…14e9backed Under54c811$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c744.03$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8558…f941backed Over46c721$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb53…3facbacked Over46c717$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64a…ed3dbacked Over46c711$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c694.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c693.57$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c678.25$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.124,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe228…855bbacked Over46c677$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over47c633$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11e…c074backed Over46c621$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6e…4ff9backed Under54c621$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdac8…2221backed Over46c544$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf6…5d0abacked Over46c519$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2169…58fcbacked Under54c512$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x186d…63a4backed Under54c451$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under19c273.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8622836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c248.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over47c241.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1114155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11022453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x687f…7370backed Under54c195$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under54c162.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c157.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c157.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.562,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Over46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c71.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.862,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over50c54.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.045858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd72…7018backed Over47c50.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.621827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under45c44.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over45c43.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5237845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c42.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Over47c41.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c37.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.153,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbc…b889backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988264.6%53 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec70…5116backed Under54c36.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over44c35.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5819435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6117444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over47c27.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6329351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c23.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over47c22.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7753453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.837959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.