NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3a3835974e9b995148c65c1c59f981a6fc0facb5ca8d35fbb59ce9214838f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Kings | 50c | 388,104$195,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195,079.12 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 51c | 93,016$47,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,971.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 50c | 65,137$32,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,730.08 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 49c | 52,352$25,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,699.52 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 50c | 48,444$24,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,222 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…ed97backed Kings | 0c | 40,150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Kings | 50c | 38,796$19,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,398 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 50c | 30,689$15,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,344.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 50c | 9,136$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 51c | 6,745$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 50c | 5,998$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 51c | 5,000$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Rockets | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 49c | 3,159$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 50c | 2,902$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 49c | 2,315$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Kings | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,584$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kings | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Kings | 50c | 505.05$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 49c | 435.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Rockets | 51c | 367.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Rockets | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 51c | 312.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 51c | 239.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Kings | 51c | 234.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 50c | 209.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 49c | 120.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kings | 50c | 110.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Rockets | 51c | 106.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Rockets | 52c | 101.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Rockets | 50c | 98.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 54c | 86.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 52c | 83.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Rockets | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 43c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Rockets | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Rockets | 51c | 69.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Kings | 51c | 64.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…9f51backed Kings | 51c | 62.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…782bbacked Rockets | 51c | 58.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Rockets | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 45c | 51.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Rockets | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Rockets | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Rockets | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 51c | 47.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Rockets | 51c | 47.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kings | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Rockets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Rockets | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Rockets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…0635backed Rockets | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 47c | 32.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Kings | 51c | 32.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Kings | 51c | 31.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Rockets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Rockets | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Kings | 51c | 28.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 44c | 27.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Rockets | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Rockets | 51c | 25.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…5911backed Kings | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…7b9dbacked Rockets | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Rockets | 51c | 24.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Rockets | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed Rockets | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Rockets | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dorian Finney-Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kings vs. RocketsRockets won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.