TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$618,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings50c388,104$195,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,079.1287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets51c93,016$47,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,971.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets50c65,137$32,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,730.081,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets49c52,352$25,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,699.521,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets50c48,444$24,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,22247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x120a…ed97backed Kings0c40,150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Kings50c38,796$19,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,39829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets50c30,689$15,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,344.271,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets51c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,90051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Kings50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets50c9,136$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings51c6,745$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings50c5,998$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9991,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets51c5,000$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets51c4,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Rockets50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets49c3,159$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.974,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets50c2,902$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.013,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings49c2,315$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Kings48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets52c1,584$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Rockets52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5450954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Kings49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Kings50c505.05$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5322048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings49c435.83$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Rockets51c367.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2219756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Rockets50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets51c312.06$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Rockets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets51c239.08$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Kings51c234.55$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets50c209.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.724,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Kings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings49c120.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.963,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kings50c110.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.791,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Rockets51c106.61$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Rockets52c101.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9748852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Rockets50c98.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.046541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets54c86.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets52c83.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Rockets52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.421854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings43c73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.713,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Rockets52c71.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.155738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Rockets51c69.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0918250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings51c64.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…9f51backed Kings51c62.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.952860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd00f…782bbacked Rockets51c58.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Rockets52c53.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.854953.1%26 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings45c51.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Rockets51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Rockets51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.016852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Rockets50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2437845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets51c47.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.311,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Rockets51c47.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.218253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3353945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kings28c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Kings50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Rockets50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Rockets52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Rockets52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.237344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Rockets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7437959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d26…0635backed Rockets61c32.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.953438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings47c32.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Kings51c32.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.525655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Kings51c31.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8930151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Rockets52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8515054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Rockets53c28.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4917345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed Kings51c28.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.294763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings44c27.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Rockets56c26.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8726757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Rockets51c25.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5723350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…5911backed Kings50c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b2…7b9dbacked Rockets52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Rockets51c24.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9816450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings46c21.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Rockets55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe584…85d4backed Rockets51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Rockets72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.66643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.