TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c204,586$102,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,499.587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under50c61,923$30,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,961.6826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under52c34,066$17,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,876.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c5,780$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.792,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c5,126$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c4,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf6…5d0abacked Over48c2,847$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64a…ed3dbacked Under52c2,835$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0c…64d2backed Under52c2,824$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8558…f941backed Over48c2,824$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb53…3facbacked Under52c2,810$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb059…f1b6backed Over48c2,805$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc174…b909backed Over48c2,796$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x687f…7370backed Under52c2,763$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde21…6688backed Over48c2,754$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d80…7dc1backed Over48c2,742$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e2b…f908backed Under52c2,736$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa873…b22fbacked Under52c2,724$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b6…b74bbacked Over48c2,715$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d7…575ebacked Under52c2,708$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2169…58fcbacked Under52c2,701$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54dd…d42bbacked Over48c2,689$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ff…5b40backed Under52c2,689$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…bf72backed Over48c2,668$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1028…b744backed Over48c2,666$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c4…d659backed Under52c2,647$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ac…5e79backed Over48c2,647$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c2,639$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.2822648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036a…98d3backed Over48c2,638$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe228…855bbacked Under52c2,625$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e99…53ccbacked Under52c2,603$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff6f…ed8cbacked Under52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c1…48b2backed Under52c2,597$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5f…14e9backed Under52c2,594$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…99f4backed Over48c2,583$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa853…3e41backed Over48c2,560$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3b…5337backed Over48c2,559$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8a…a6e7backed Over48c2,536$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb979…a2c0backed Over48c2,519$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6995…2336backed Under52c2,513$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab6…2708backed Under52c2,501$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b16…0389backed Under52c2,480$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31d…aac8backed Over48c2,402$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2481,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,317$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6704,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,317$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c1,164$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.3934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x915d…ee97backed Over48c1,019$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf12…a58cbacked Under50c958.59$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85fb…4b8dbacked Under52c946.14$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ae…06a3backed Under52c924$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over50c866$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43325452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…8449backed Over48c851$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c716$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c601.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.391,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c557.72$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.273,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under51c467.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1922836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c356.46$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under27c253.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c197.26$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.582,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558a…e9b3backed Over50c150.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c139.44$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.921,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under53c130.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6928949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over47c111.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c105.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0411851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5243544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b07…3978backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under53c94.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under51c92.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9613857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd0…dd03backed Over49c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.624442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under51c57.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.516746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c52.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%7 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+81.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c45.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.860267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.554854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6129247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c30.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.