CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7d4e3b7db44be7b6df39aa48003e994baf5a982b1ef0b3f4cf16d55b0c56d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 79c | 5,855$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Heroic | 10c | 5,256$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Heroic | 16c | 4,432$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.14 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FURIA | 72c | 3,140$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.23 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Heroic | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked Heroic | 1c | 2,598$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Heroic | 43c | 2,443$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.57 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic | 29c | 2,354$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.64 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 9c | 1,287$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heroic | 12c | 1,102$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 10c | 1,009$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Heroic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…6d32backed Heroic | 11c | 901.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Heroic | 41c | 785.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.86 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Heroic | 18c | 760.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 15c | 735$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed FURIA | 59c | 648.32$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.81 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA | 57c | 645.67$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Heroic | 17c | 598.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic | 11c | 519.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Heroic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Heroic | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 17c | 466.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FURIA | 69c | 435.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…15d0backed Heroic | 8c | 355.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Heroic | 5c | 329.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 66c | 306.52$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Heroic | 10c | 296.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic | 15c | 266$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic | 8c | 218.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 17c | 206$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FURIA | 70c | 205$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Heroic | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA | 79c | 176.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Heroic | 13c | 173.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…5bb5backed FURIA | 74c | 149.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Heroic | 16c | 141.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…d210backed Heroic | 8c | 125.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Heroic | 10c | 122.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Heroic | 17c | 101.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FURIA | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked FURIA | 65c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA | 70c | 86.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed FURIA | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed FURIA | 76c | 60.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…d8aebacked FURIA | 80c | 54.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked FURIA | 67c | 52.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Heroic | 40c | 51.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FURIA | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heroic | 25c | 49.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Heroic | 22c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed FURIA | 60c | 45.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked FURIA | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked FURIA | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked FURIA | 66c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.