NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a3a9acdc1fb8edac2981dfd5766e51e13595fd52250def0655b28c5acb63d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $990,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,614 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 555,351$291,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291,885.54 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 400,000$189,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,500 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 271,100$138,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,260.8 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 111,736$53,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,145.93 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 57,135$27,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,996.1 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 35,000$17,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,810.02 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 50c | 30,749$15,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,368.49 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 28,692$14,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,629.74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 48c | 17,749$8,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150.15 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 49c | 12,063$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 11,543$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 11,184$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,480.38 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 6,150$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 5,760$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.2 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 51c | 5,082$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 5,007$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 49c | 3,447$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.17 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 3,432$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 2,389$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.28 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,941$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.67 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 1,931$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.3 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 53c | 1,790$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.02 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,613$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 49c | 1,514$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 1,250$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under | 51c | 1,198$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,138$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.13 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.63 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 999.22$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.65 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 963.19$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.26 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed Under | 51c | 940$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 50c | 917$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.5 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 900$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.32 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 899.28$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.67 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 860.73$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.58 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…99b3backed Under | 48c | 831.25$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…efd9backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 49c | 754$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.54 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 77c | 748.96$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 48c | 746.02$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.93 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 51c | 744$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 736$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.64 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 716.41$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.41 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…1d91backed Under | 50c | 636$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 600$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 51c | 581.37$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 570.17$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 499.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.89 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 58c | 476.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 434.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 49c | 374.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Under | 73c | 360.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 41c | 309.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Under | 49c | 308.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…3697backed Over | 50c | 300.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 53c | 282.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 272.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 270$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 240.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…f739backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 199.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 52c | 199.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 26c | 197.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Under | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 51c | 194.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Under | 49c | 169.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 118.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…1225backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 113.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…f8bfbacked Under | 50c | 113.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 48c | 113.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Under | 66c | 111.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. SabresSabres won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.