NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56577922e65766e5df70ce61dfa1c654f18dcde0ae949a218947f94dc2a8ba5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 45c | 4,396$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 52c | 3,402$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.2 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,582$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,332$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.13 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 1,017$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.4 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 959.29$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 59c | 878.55$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 854$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 742$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.04 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 62c | 722.29$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.82 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 57c | 554.67$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.43 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 10c | 179$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 39c | 159.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 139$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541f…b2f6backed Over | 62c | 114.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 71c | 105.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…f932backed Over | 52c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 84.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 25c | 64.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 61c | 63.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 63.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 57.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 48.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 32c | 47.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 38.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 60c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 39c | 26.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…8b14backed Over | 60c | 23.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. SabresSabres won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.