NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc17d7599730f724fba63bbab2168ed2b90a77023d8789d84f8fa8a69e88da06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Sabres, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 42c | 5,497$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.24 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 58c | 4,326$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.78 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 58c | 3,800$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Sabres | 42c | 2,964$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Sabres | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Predators | 58c | 1,268$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.09 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Sabres | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 58c | 948.78$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sabres | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Predators | 64c | 452.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 58c | 449.94$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 58c | 435.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 76c | 381$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Sabres | 42c | 292.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Predators | 59c | 277.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 36c | 265.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Sabres | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sabres | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Predators | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Predators | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Sabres | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Sabres | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Predators | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Predators | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Sabres | 43c | 100.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Sabres | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Predators | 57c | 80.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Sabres | 33c | 76.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Predators | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 58c | 74.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sabres | 59c | 70.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Predators | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 32c | 67.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Predators | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Predators | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Predators | 60c | 51.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Sabres | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Sabres | 43c | 46.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Sabres | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sabres | 40c | 44.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Sabres | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Predators | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Sabres | 40c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Predators | 62c | 32.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Predators | 58c | 31.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sabres | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Sabres | 42c | 29.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 40c | 26.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Predators | 75c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Predators | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Predators | 67c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. SabresSabres won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.