TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c15,468$9,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,322.34,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c10,210$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.8850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.962969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Under60c5,180$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.822166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c4,195$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.922,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under58c3,064$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.3221957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under57c2,478$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.841136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over45c2,468$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1103050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over34c1,470$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.810629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over27c1,139$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.351,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7421641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over44c715$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.882969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over47c642.55$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26412954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c445.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over45c444.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over43c373$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over32c353.74$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.578732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6923152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over33c285$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c249.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.831,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c249$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.561,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over45c240.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c228.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under56c208$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.525137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Under57c173.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.681338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c168.55$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.511,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over47c163.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over32c153.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.984719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under57c149.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2319053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over45c134.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.73850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under59c120.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.711354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.418853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.415747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over45c110.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9411741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4219153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over44c97.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.814850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf7…ed48backed Over47c97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Under57c95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c92.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under56c92.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1427653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over42c89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under57c87.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.887838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.568938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c79.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Over47c74.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.092161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under57c73.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2320245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under58c63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.214157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.219152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.218551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over20c58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c57.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Over46c57.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…407fbacked Over44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2120054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2119553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.519751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over43c46.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over44c45.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Under67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…e55dbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under78c41.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.283,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.819155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.