La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b85938c0aa124bd0af8cf79ed660c021715442fa613d92241b7951b92c75f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 7,314$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.16 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed No | 54c | 4,928$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 50c | 1,456$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 1,249$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,032$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.93 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 827.15$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.68 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 52c | 729$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.08 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 39c | 540$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 53c | 478$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 51c | 307.7$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 305.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…4d9ebacked Yes | 51c | 299.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 47c | 217.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 216.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 200.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 49c | 189.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 54c | 183.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 180.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Yes | 47c | 144.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 18c | 139.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 134.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 131.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 122.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 51c | 101.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Yes | 55c | 88.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 52c | 80.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 50c | 59.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…ac78backed Yes | 52c | 47.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 50c | 45.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 40.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 48c | 31.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 75c | 28.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…f98dbacked Yes | 43c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 49c | 20.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…cf4abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.