TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb392…2607backed Over1c8,821$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under31c8,500$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,864.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Under59c5,623$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.172166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c5,428$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.534,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over71c2,800$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.993151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c1,999$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.362,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,813$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.8569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over60c1,119$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.212650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over50c1,104$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.3837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over19c1,028$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3710629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67032545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…99edbacked Over33c917.73$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over67c843$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56042851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c788.86$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.143,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over71c493.05$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over52c485.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over63c449.22$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.011643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over69c429.43$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.325967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over71c420$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.211056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over46c365.72$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c346.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.031,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over62c320.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a9c…c9c4backed Over71c280.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c262.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5161557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c255.51$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.51,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c215.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.391,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e5…6f7abacked Over64c196.64$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under28c187.77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over67c180$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.634252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.52560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c129.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over55c127.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.696450%32 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over72c122.22$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ae…bbbabacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over69c93.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2720245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over53c91.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2733949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over69c89.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7811962.2%74 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under65c88.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0417044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over68c88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8415851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.813457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.068958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Over69c72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5214028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c63.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.471,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over17c62.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+80.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bde…237abacked Over69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over69c57.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2211354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over65c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.513760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e3…7923backed Over24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c40.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2228446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over44c40.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.765644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over69c38.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.828155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under70c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2814342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Over68c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf7…ed48backed Over72c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under32c33.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over70c31.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over72c30.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c25.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7550249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over70c24.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2944324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under77c20.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127454.1%40 W · 34 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over70c18.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0212152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c47…8d7abacked Over78c14.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over80c13.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.