NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd73d4a68be1b0c652c3ef876fdadd91a7a1b5c1424f673ec3eaf1bde31006d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof SKA St. Petersburg, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked CSKA Moscow | 53c | 984.81$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.93 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 912.51$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CSKA Moscow | 53c | 678.77$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 601.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 406.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…cdb5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 283.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 245.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…38e6backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 218.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…888abacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 217$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…80b4backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 213$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…90cfbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 212.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…dab5backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad5…085ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 208.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…7818backed SKA St. Petersburg | 49c | 207.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…76debacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 206$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e062backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CSKA Moscow | 33c | 194.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b12…d84cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 49c | 186.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…8d31backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 182.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3f65backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed SKA St. Petersburg | 77c | 172.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SKA St. Petersburg | 61c | 157.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed CSKA Moscow | 36c | 138.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…dfbebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 54c | 134$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…97c9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 126.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…eae2backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 114.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…a604backed CSKA Moscow | 55c | 107.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…321ebacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 106.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…6594backed CSKA Moscow | 55c | 104.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…6628backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 101.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CSKA Moscow | 37c | 100.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed SKA St. Petersburg | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed CSKA Moscow | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CSKA Moscow | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…e285backed CSKA Moscow | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed SKA St. Petersburg | 55c | 45.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 44.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 44.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked CSKA Moscow | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 75c | 41.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked CSKA Moscow | 62c | 32.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 60c | 30.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed SKA St. Petersburg | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 25.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed SKA St. Petersburg | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed SKA St. Petersburg | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…cc3cbacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 21.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked CSKA Moscow | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed CSKA Moscow | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked CSKA Moscow | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed SKA St. Petersburg | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.