South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcff8fa2f493b010f9fd0d015094139aa6a7158b6829e80cbdc35720fd2539f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 6,663$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 2,788$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 2,751$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 2,504$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.58 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 980.79$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 60c | 951.55$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.99 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 22c | 910$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.8 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 45c | 720.59$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…0222backed Yes | 61c | 702$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 640.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 601.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 25c | 593.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 582.18$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.74 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 21c | 570.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 457.63$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 45c | 397.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 61c | 385.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 381.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 311.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 71c | 247.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 246$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 42c | 242.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 23c | 217.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 58c | 191.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 179.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 31c | 165.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 164.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 142.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 43c | 135.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 23c | 128.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…68fabacked Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…d5c4backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 25c | 108.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 107.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 101.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 24c | 93.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 89.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 71c | 87.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 25c | 79.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 78.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 26c | 77.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 77.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked No | 76c | 76.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 44c | 62.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 57.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 45c | 55.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 51.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 57c | 47.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 78c | 43.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 38.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…3df5backed Yes | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 36.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 68c | 34.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 32.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 78c | 30.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…e07dbacked Yes | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…270fbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 51c | 29.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…7613backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 52c | 28.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 47c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 63c | 26.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 46c | 26.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed No | 65c | 24.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 64c | 22.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 63c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…754fbacked Yes | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.