South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ebdb715dc2081bc9000c930c2e20c91ef0edb28096cf60b5f5de43d5c162eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,682 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 3,317$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.39 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 4c | 3,054$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 26c | 2,834$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 2,573$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 26c | 2,403$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,940$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 26c | 1,894$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,389$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 1,037$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 949.76$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.46 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 681.9$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 680.01$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 642.24$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 544.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 198.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 190.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 17c | 128.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 74c | 124.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 16c | 115.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 99.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 93.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 51c | 92.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 91.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 25c | 81.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 74.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Yes | 35c | 73.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 71.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 27c | 63.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 62.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 74c | 50.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 44.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 80c | 28.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 73c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.