NHL · resolved market
DEL: Straubing Tigers vs. Eisbaeren Berlin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90395864beffdd57bc3f5826afa5993fda3de45891f50286d27c8e2a805d410f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eisbaeren Berlinof Straubing Tigers, Eisbaeren Berlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b8a…2007backed Straubing Tigers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…b4b5backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 9,990$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 46c | 509.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Straubing Tigers | 55c | 427.87$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Straubing Tigers | 44c | 385.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 62c | 290.21$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 45c | 135.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 50c | 132.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 66c | 116.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 91 | 78%71 W · 20 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Straubing Tigers | 52c | 104.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Straubing Tigers | 52c | 104.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 49c | 101.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Straubing Tigers | 28c | 93.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Straubing Tigers | 55c | 89.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…cac8backed Straubing Tigers | 56c | 66.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Straubing Tigers | 51c | 59.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…1826backed Straubing Tigers | 39c | 59.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 69c | 52.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Straubing Tigers | 53c | 51.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 46c | 48.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Straubing Tigers | 41c | 43.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…31a9backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 47c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d138backed Straubing Tigers | 55c | 37.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Straubing Tigers | 52c | 32.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…0a13backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 49c | 30.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 48c | 28.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 69c | 23.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 22.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.