TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Shabab Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Al Hilal Saudi Club46c321,875$147,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,033.382955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Al Shabab Saudi Club54c150,000$81,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,0003844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Al Shabab Saudi Club54c149,875$80,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,932.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club55c13,972$7,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,685.7422555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Al Shabab Saudi Club54c3,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Al Shabab Saudi Club61c2,157$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Al Shabab Saudi Club58c1,180$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.581450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Shabab Saudi Club40c1,140$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.911,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c1,129$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.365,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c350$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Al Hilal Saudi Club40c302.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club40c295.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.563342.4%14 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c234.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Shabab Saudi Club59c206.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.242,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club17c160$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c135$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club42c120$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Al Shabab Saudi Club55c117.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.099744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c112$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.725651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Al Hilal Saudi Club46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Al Hilal Saudi Club48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Al Shabab Saudi Club57c101.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Hilal Saudi Club33c99.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5917340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c91.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club58c84.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Al Hilal Saudi Club38c73.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6414153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club44c73.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.242157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.756246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Al Hilal Saudi Club38c71.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.422360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Al Hilal Saudi Club39c58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3811742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c57.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club54c55.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0515035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…161dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club48c51.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club44c45.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Al Hilal Saudi Club45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c35.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Al Hilal Saudi Club44c33.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.126149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.884755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…0947backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c24.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Al Shabab Saudi Club57c23.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c22.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Al Shabab Saudi Club50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.215549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Al Shabab Saudi Club56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Al Shabab Saudi Club62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Al Shabab Saudi Club54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Al Shabab Saudi Club60c16.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e61…eaeebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.