Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016c2c2169f8b332a03cbb3b441e4fd019def1577eb2ba42bc71f5102a9ea20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 308,727$146,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,105.26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 148,116$78,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,501.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,992$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.84 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Under | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 58c | 1,150$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.66 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 46c | 999.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 981.73$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…0e4dbacked Over | 36c | 559.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 373.81$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 320$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 245.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…6f89backed Over | 73c | 198.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 54c | 186.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…63aebacked Under | 55c | 142.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 53c | 140.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 137.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 43c | 116.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 53c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Under | 55c | 105.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…74c6backed Under | 54c | 80.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 55c | 56.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…fb8cbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 41c | 41.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 54c | 41.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 32.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Over | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 55c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…0ce0backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 51c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.6wins | -0.55per pick | 64cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…f8cabacked Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.