Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c09b9ecbce92ab848c5b489cbdf7929993349c06bdcc65f3ea125308761563b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Yes | 40c | 156,370$62,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,875.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 60c | 150,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 2c | 2,160$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 2,057$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.77 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 790.76$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 18c | 601.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 458.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 433.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 63c | 342.15$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 268.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 220.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes | 65c | 153.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 143.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 64c | 137$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 36c | 132$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 122.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 60c | 112$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 107$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 102.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 65c | 88.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 35c | 83.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 37c | 75.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed No | 63c | 70.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 67.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes | 61c | 62.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 40c | 57.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked No | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a690backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 52.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 48.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 37c | 41.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 50c | 41.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 64c | 38.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 58c | 36.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Yes | 37c | 33.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4054…2ec3backed No | 65c | 17.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 16.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 68c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.