Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689f4724939961939b6ba2ea898ed7515fe651cb77751b01f03d347ddf73e113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,969$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 38c | 1,170$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 35c | 857.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…956ebacked Yes | 42c | 805$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 704.17$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 62c | 604.5$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 522.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 38c | 507.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 489.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 398.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 358.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 25c | 350.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.87 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 37c | 324.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 37c | 299.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Yes | 54c | 299.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 38c | 275.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…dd21backed Yes | 16c | 256.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 248.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 9c | 240$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 50c | 208.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 30c | 201.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…f502backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 177.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 172.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…8e7cbacked Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 127.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 37c | 109.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 107.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 14c | 103.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 39c | 98.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 85.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…c1a5backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 25c | 54.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a690backed Yes | 49c | 53.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 51.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 38c | 50.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 37.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 50c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 30.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 38c | 27.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…4129backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked No | 63c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.