Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c17a4c62118cc6c8b3d6a0bc788a7d9341c6ab89cad0af805cb7a383f271838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 74c | 23,339$17,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,068.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 18,881$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.22 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 2c | 902.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 28c | 863.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 728.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 649.89$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 618$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 398.33$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 26c | 387.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 365$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 23c | 365$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…5d02backed Yes | 21c | 353.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 316$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 23c | 289.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 26c | 279$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 255.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 184.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 182.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 21c | 178$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 147.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 14c | 145.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…63aebacked No | 73c | 107.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 91.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 83.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a690backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 75c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.