Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e8a43d0f33e123bbcda7644b2b9b51ef01d2c559c38696c03ae2a86a4ce6f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 14c | 2,901$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.19 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed No | 15c | 2,548$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 30cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 2,009$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.4 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,451$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 7c | 1,254$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 16c | 1,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 13c | 928.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 13c | 857.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 70c | 714.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 22c | 706.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 42c | 699.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 12c | 536.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 13c | 459.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 408.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 304.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 283.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 8c | 229.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 207.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 20c | 196.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 14c | 193$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 77c | 182.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 20c | 171$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 164.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 14c | 159.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 272 | 51.8%141 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 15c | 156.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 25c | 154.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 73c | 143.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 71c | 140.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 17c | 132.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed No | 16c | 119.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…d976backed No | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 11c | 111.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 17c | 103.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 98.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…90f5backed No | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…e80dbacked No | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 12c | 88.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…7efebacked No | 14c | 81.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 81.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 69c | 64.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 79c | 64.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…b978backed Yes | 78c | 64.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebc…14dfbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked No | 44c | 30.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 73c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Yes | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Gambia win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Senegal vs. Gambia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.