Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal vs. Gambia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ef86414617aaeabe312be7ef4e5ac437783a2618ec8e5702465211493dd558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 23c | 1,099$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.63 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 865.76$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 12c | 845$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 429.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 10c | 421.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 76c | 321.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes | 12c | 209.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Yes | 14c | 192.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 14c | 173.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 12c | 137.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 11c | 129.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 272 | 51.8%141 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…f09dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal vs. Gambia end in a draw?this page
- Will Gambia win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.