NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9051f1b7faf1a49603999671480842b9c14a996c29f4de1c6cdaa568030df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe60…0b25backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 9,995$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9efebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 9,974$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 51c | 523.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 3c | 477.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 377.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 3c | 348.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 310.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 4c | 270.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 147.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 48c | 89.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 70.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 75c | 68.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 67.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 60.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 56.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…cac8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 79c | 39.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 34.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 30.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…0a13backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 73c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.