La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b278d88c09746c960f5943aeee809b44e67423bd53b5932e308bbb5b9fbacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 6,755$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.82 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,572$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.16 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 5c | 1,241$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 1,046$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 970$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 879.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 650.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 499.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…b17bbacked Yes | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 14c | 359.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 11c | 196.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 7c | 174$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 20c | 121.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 9c | 118.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 17c | 112.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 82.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 17c | 75.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…df91backed Yes | 19c | 69.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…58d2backed Yes | 18c | 63.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.