Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd88dbbffd3e2e43ec1e198effdf5f2620c4c3f6e6b599d16c5a0607955b149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 7c | 16,959$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 11,237$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.18 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…c5e2backed Yes | 7c | 10,459$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 8,226$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…4844backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Yes | 5c | 6,795$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,900$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…ef32backed Yes | 7c | 4,800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 6c | 4,345$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 10c | 4,153$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.33 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,050$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 3,850$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 3,584$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…86b1backed Yes | 9c | 2,791$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 1,979$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 7c | 1,828$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 1,756$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 1,383$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 5c | 1,290$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 5c | 1,235$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 6c | 1,173$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 10c | 1,126$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 5c | 814.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 6c | 735$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 5c | 624.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 5c | 508.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…34ffbacked Yes | 7c | 503.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Yes | 8c | 488.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…735ebacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…6002backed Yes | 8c | 376.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 6c | 366.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…43a2backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…439abacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Yes | 6c | 329.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…1dbcbacked Yes | 7c | 301.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bed…09fabacked Yes | 7c | 281.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…4ceebacked Yes | 8c | 250.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…12f7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…6140backed Yes | 10c | 249.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 7c | 225$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…bcabbacked Yes | 9c | 222.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…1d34backed Yes | 7c | 215.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 7c | 190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 9c | 146.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbd…9c54backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513f…041cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a3cfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 10c | 100.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.