Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02916fec700facac2472b129897447f977a9392917e48d42e3a3aa71a12665de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,217 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 43,732$13,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,369.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 71c | 34,439$24,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.31 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 6,431$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.97 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,283$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.91 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 56c | 1,875$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 1,844$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.24 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked No | 43c | 1,508$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,014$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…5909backed Yes | 7c | 827.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 23c | 630.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 508.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.15 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 32c | 399.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 17c | 364.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…7012backed Yes | 19c | 327.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 57c | 321.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 70c | 284.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 263.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…68c4backed Yes | 19c | 258.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 223.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 31c | 194.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 44c | 186$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 159$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 57c | 154.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes | 47c | 153.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 19c | 146.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 128.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 126.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 62c | 97.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…11ddbacked Yes | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 20c | 93.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 33c | 87.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 18c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 75c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 76.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…4769backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 18c | 65.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…5afbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 27c | 59.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 59.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 45c | 55.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 31c | 52.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 49.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…0eccbacked Yes | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 34c | 47.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 61c | 39.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d0…7943backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4375…e3dabacked Yes | 71c | 30.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…4eb2backed Yes | 75c | 29.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 70c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Yes | 60c | 16.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 65c | 16.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.