Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eaf3fa3e320d80253968fc3737a9133250477632d5378b7c8e6132296722243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,777 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,677$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 11,991$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 5,190$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 3,407$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,102$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,950$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,649$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,634$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,247$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Yes | 8c | 1,170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 999.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Yes | 7c | 815.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 6c | 799.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 8c | 567.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 7c | 520.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 8c | 458.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…db78backed Yes | 6c | 405.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 7c | 404.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 7c | 299.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Yes | 8c | 265.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 237.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 6c | 206.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…70f1backed Yes | 7c | 187.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 6c | 181.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 7c | 169.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 8c | 160.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.