Serie A · resolved market
Will Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77bcc50878504657eae4fc549cf0148963ac47004d69f1bbed97747760dc7c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,722 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 15c | 1,792$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,504$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 4c | 1,420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 526.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 5c | 211.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 16c | 155.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 135.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 16c | 105.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 19c | 104.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 16c | 99.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 15c | 88.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 30cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.