Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704c326a11914861a24b67b6e077efa8406b0668e5e8d772e0ff6ecbd82bfb79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 6c | 9,782$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.94 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 7,468$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 6,995$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.87 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 4,908$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.79 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 4,015$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.59 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,914$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 4c | 3,770$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 15c | 3,315$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…5954backed Yes | 15c | 2,743$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,505$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,340$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bce…f099backed Yes | 5c | 2,213$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 2,056$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…13bebacked Yes | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 2c | 1,164$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 5c | 1,017$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 16c | 987$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 15c | 949$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 15c | 929.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 16c | 830.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…1cfdbacked Yes | 18c | 792.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 6c | 786.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 15c | 759.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 5c | 604.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 15c | 530.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 516.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 16c | 486.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 5c | 418.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 15c | 414.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 17c | 391.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 16c | 348.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e7…cac2backed Yes | 17c | 346.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…62b4backed Yes | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 5c | 268.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 5c | 265.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 5c | 245.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaf…7478backed Yes | 10c | 236.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 225.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c8…5b66backed Yes | 17c | 223.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 16c | 223.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes | 19c | 211.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 15c | 206$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4236…7040backed Yes | 16c | 202$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes | 6c | 188.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…0582backed Yes | 7c | 179.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 16c | 178.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 14c | 174.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 17c | 171.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Yes | 17c | 167.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 18c | 142.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…5f25backed Yes | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…d21bbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 16c | 119.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes | 16c | 117.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Yes | 10c | 111.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…2f3fbacked Yes | 15c | 101.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 15c | 101.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 12c | 95.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 15c | 92.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…f172backed Yes | 15c | 91.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 15c | 79.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 16c | 76.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed Yes | 15c | 74.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 17c | 69.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.