Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40711aa5510cc516d05b1f2d0b4096944a971bbcd269c227033511267614e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVULUSof AVULUS, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…ee57backed AVULUS | 37c | 2,646$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed AVULUS | 38c | 2,620$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.08 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked 1win | 62c | 2,570$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.5 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AVULUS | 26c | 2,451$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.5 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AVULUS | 24c | 2,296$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.63 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked 1win | 62c | 2,185$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AVULUS | 27c | 1,750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.36 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed 1win | 73c | 1,594$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed AVULUS | 58c | 1,423$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.63 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 1win | 63c | 1,170$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.89 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed 1win | 67c | 1,144$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…b0d3backed 1win | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked 1win | 57c | 939.52$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked AVULUS | 42c | 796.64$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed 1win | 76c | 782$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.84 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…c8f6backed 1win | 61c | 746.43$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked 1win | 80c | 575.89$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed AVULUS | 37c | 541.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.03 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked 1win | 57c | 435.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed 1win | 66c | 399.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed AVULUS | 36c | 383.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed AVULUS | 17c | 360.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked AVULUS | 34c | 345.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.11 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed AVULUS | 59c | 339.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed AVULUS | 36c | 337.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c5…3aa4backed 1win | 70c | 325.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed AVULUS | 47c | 305.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked AVULUS | 36c | 278.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed 1win | 63c | 244.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked 1win | 70c | 232.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked AVULUS | 26c | 220$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…cbccbacked 1win | 71c | 206.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…7d35backed 1win | 78c | 196.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed 1win | 66c | 189.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked AVULUS | 26c | 174.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed AVULUS | 10c | 160$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed AVULUS | 34c | 154.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed AVULUS | 10c | 145$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed AVULUS | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed AVULUS | 23c | 121.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked AVULUS | 32c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked 1win | 36c | 109.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed AVULUS | 12c | 106.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…66f1backed 1win | 75c | 105.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed AVULUS | 59c | 98.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed AVULUS | 29c | 92.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked AVULUS | 33c | 90.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…4dacbacked AVULUS | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 47c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked 1win | 79c | 88.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked AVULUS | 22c | 88.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed AVULUS | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed AVULUS | 35c | 87.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed 1win | 40c | 72.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked 1win | 67c | 71.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 1win | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 26c | 69.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…d082backed 1win | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed AVULUS | 35c | 69.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked AVULUS | 29c | 68.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked 1win | 68c | 66.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed AVULUS | 34c | 65.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked AVULUS | 48c | 62.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed AVULUS | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 30c | 55.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…df7ebacked AVULUS | 55c | 54.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked 1win | 71c | 53.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed 1win | 75c | 50.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked 1win | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked 1win | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed 1win | 62c | 48.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed AVULUS | 26c | 46.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked 1win | 70c | 41.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed AVULUS | 36c | 40.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AVULUS | 45c | 40.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked AVULUS | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked 1win | 69c | 38.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed 1win | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed AVULUS | 44c | 36.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked 1win | 69c | 36.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…2f3bbacked 1win | 70c | 35.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AVULUS | 30c | 35.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed AVULUS | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed AVULUS | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed AVULUS | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed AVULUS | 38c | 28.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked 1win | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…32dcbacked 1win | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…e0d9backed 1win | 78c | 21.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…a314backed 1win | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…912cbacked 1win | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed AVULUS | 61c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed 1win | 63c | 18.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked AVULUS | 66c | 15.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…bee6backed 1win | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerAVULUS won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.