Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990f6a6f61f2c276e8828f25b8084e8e369b187a38aed943b1f99dcce97d08fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed GLYPH | 14c | 1,552$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GLYPH | 29c | 1,500$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.02 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 58c | 1,378$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.38 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked GLYPH | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed GLYPH | 41c | 810.37$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 70c | 575.76$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH | 36c | 551.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 73c | 505.54$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 74c | 494.14$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 36c | 423.54$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GLYPH | 41c | 405.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked REKONIX | 60c | 377.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed GLYPH | 17c | 371.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed REKONIX | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked REKONIX | 65c | 307.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed REKONIX | 71c | 297.07$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed REKONIX | 70c | 294.18$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 71c | 281.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH | 34c | 274.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 68c | 272.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed GLYPH | 37c | 243$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GLYPH | 48c | 219.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed GLYPH | 40c | 209.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GLYPH | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 71c | 178.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 66c | 164.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GLYPH | 27c | 157.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed REKONIX | 63c | 151.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked GLYPH | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed GLYPH | 40c | 149.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked REKONIX | 67c | 146.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked GLYPH | 38c | 139$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed REKONIX | 73c | 117.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 67c | 107.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked REKONIX | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed REKONIX | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked REKONIX | 72c | 95.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…6121backed GLYPH | 38c | 77.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 72c | 75.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked REKONIX | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked REKONIX | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked REKONIX | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed REKONIX | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked GLYPH | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked REKONIX | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed GLYPH | 39c | 41.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked REKONIX | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…a6f0backed REKONIX | 73c | 38.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 74c | 37.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed GLYPH | 28c | 36.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked REKONIX | 72c | 34.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed REKONIX | 73c | 32.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 73c | 27.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed REKONIX | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…16e1backed REKONIX | 76c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed REKONIX | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed REKONIX | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.