Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf69edd64aa5de4b5319698c444509e16944f5630ddff5d714919de6917ac45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof REKONIX, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 49c | 11,488$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.85 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed GLYPH | 51c | 2,741$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.15 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed GLYPH | 61c | 1,666$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.25 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 52c | 1,246$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.82 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH | 61c | 1,051$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.34 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed REKONIX | 64c | 785.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked GLYPH | 52c | 748.39$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.84 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 55c | 631.61$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 49c | 527.32$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed GLYPH | 44c | 501.74$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH | 51c | 492.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed GLYPH | 51c | 438.65$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.94 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked GLYPH | 51c | 437.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH | 51c | 394.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed GLYPH | 51c | 388.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 35c | 320.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked GLYPH | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked GLYPH | 51c | 294.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked GLYPH | 56c | 284.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 59c | 250.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked GLYPH | 51c | 238.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked GLYPH | 51c | 238.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed GLYPH | 51c | 238.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked GLYPH | 51c | 228.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed GLYPH | 55c | 220.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed GLYPH | 51c | 219.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GLYPH | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 53c | 207.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked GLYPH | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked GLYPH | 51c | 201.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed GLYPH | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 45c | 197.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GLYPH | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed GLYPH | 51c | 193.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed GLYPH | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed REKONIX | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked GLYPH | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed GLYPH | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH | 42c | 90.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 62c | 83.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed GLYPH | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed GLYPH | 51c | 54.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked GLYPH | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed GLYPH | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…2e79backed REKONIX | 56c | 27.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked GLYPH | 53c | 23.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 54c | 22.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.