NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2c47f8a200d27437f53ac32557c82718f40bbfdfaa64b2140d7bbcc06e79ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 463.89$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 452.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 363$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 43c | 211.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Dinamo Minsk | 45c | 205$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…cefcbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…79c4backed Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 203$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…4ea0backed Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…2225backed Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…cf4fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…69fbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…3b0ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 198$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7406…00bebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 197.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Dinamo Minsk | 46c | 178.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Dinamo Minsk | 45c | 44.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…9baabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.