Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6749e8ed802c32a6af0c352f325758250a44f2fa7e44cf5a39da0f8f7064ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 31c | 2,231$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.63 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 1,374$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.88 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 21c | 1,356$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.79 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 36c | 1,336$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,320$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,184$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 23c | 983.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.3 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 36c | 966$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.96 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 78c | 801.39$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 64c | 780.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Under | 64c | 770.61$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.19 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 64c | 699.98$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.99 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 11c | 549.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 58c | 494.83$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 383.86$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 344.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 28c | 292.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 282.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 11c | 251.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 30c | 178.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over | 36c | 106.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 40c | 94.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 47c | 89.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 76c | 79.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 76c | 79.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 79.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 79c | 73.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 58.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 37c | 52.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 46.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 71c | 40.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 65c | 35.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 79c | 33.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 79c | 30.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 55c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8758backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 18.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.