Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e423b8c6230faaa6d5d34861ed8c36fbadc8bdf4677ec0e5afd44d778a9b60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 5,063$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 3,618$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.92 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,388$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 59c | 1,999$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.74 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 60c | 1,628$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 903.33$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 825.09$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.77 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 60c | 816.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 521.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 401.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 277.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 239.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 43c | 205.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 138.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Over | 60c | 126.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 116.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 103.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over | 59c | 98.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 95.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf0…dbd1backed Over | 60c | 84.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 25c | 83.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 60c | 81.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 76.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 57.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 57.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 60c | 49.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 60c | 49.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Under | 42c | 48.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 59c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 24.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 49c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Under | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.