TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under63c24,457$15,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,408.112259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c7,078$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.7998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under58c4,613$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.513647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over37c2,566$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.552352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over65c2,527$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.8113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over37c2,526$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.724452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5503080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under27c1,132$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over37c1,110$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.32240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over37c1,081$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.052445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over37c1,080$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.455246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over37c1,080$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.316352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over37c1,073$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.234553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over37c1,073$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.12365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over37c1,073$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.15257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over37c842.03$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.75255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over37c842.03$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.71952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over37c833.29$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.975754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over37c756.76$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.762646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over37c675.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.645154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over42c647.35$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c595.74$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0315140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c517.66$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over37c517.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under50c511.44$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.722441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over23c431.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.24818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over34c416$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.725244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.418129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over67c397.6$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over37c371$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.736549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over37c371$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.733756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over37c371$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.732653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over37c324.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.328327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over43c316.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.514951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb74…3ad1backed Over54c315.56$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under66c300$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.675853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over37c270.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.252250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over59c254.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under42c237$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.684843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over49c222.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under25c192$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over35c169.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under69c158.75$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.246050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over37c146.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.355352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under65c145.14$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over57c139.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.779446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.145846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.144456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over37c130.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.932740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over45c124.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4719849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Under64c121.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under67c116$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.726147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over37c101.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6413540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under63c97.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.472548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c90.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.998853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Over66c87.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over65c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over31c80.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.348353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over30c68.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.274252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…3235backed Over65c62.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over37c57.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.073050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0510839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0510357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Under49c44.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.165846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…b9bebacked Over25c41.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over60c41.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3016…f1fcbacked Under64c41.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.543262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over47c38.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.032556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb17c…e5c2backed Over37c36.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c31.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over44c27.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under73c24.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…08a7backed Over72c22.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over72c17.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.965066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under73c15.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.624355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.