TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under40c33,357$13,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,342.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb74…3ad1backed Over53c16,600$8,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,856.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c12,008$8,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828.8198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c3,942$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c3,413$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.0813049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over60c3,203$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2814452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over60c2,135$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8542352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over59c1,906$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.2111055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over59c1,463$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over60c1,068$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4275246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under40c988.01$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.211758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over79c938.44$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.121764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c916.67$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over60c887.33$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.932365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over60c887.33$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.934553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over60c887.33$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.935257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.336352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over60c781.42$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c663.35$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over60c642.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over60c555$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over12c503.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.321118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+198.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c499.57$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under34c496.31$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under48c479.73$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under47c432.16$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3613540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over53c388.09$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over53c349.49$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.781275%9 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+117.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over52c248.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under20c243$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.091323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over50c228.01$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.014233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over60c209.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.732646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over60c208.35$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.342740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over60c207.28$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.915154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over60c205.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.11154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over73c204.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.735066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Under50c197.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c192.18$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Over60c192$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over59c188.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.111057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over70c153.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.086050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under21c145.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.563043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over64c143.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.145352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c135.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over73c135$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.452759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under41c124.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over60c123$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.23161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Over59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over62c117.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.743754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over64c115.54$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under53c114.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over60c107.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6c…35bbbacked Under23c103.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under22c91.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under25c89.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.082441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Under40c88.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c81.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.698853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Over68c81.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over77c80.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.894252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed Over76c62.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over76c61.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over79c58.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.283672.2%26 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under24c57.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over55c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over50c53.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.752055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under47c50.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.923357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c50.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.924355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over60c50.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1810357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over60c40.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.195754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Under41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.