Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c644b498477bba9cd99014249ec251293506c3a3050fd3e7bd42f882c42de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 614.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 278.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…a3dabacked Under | 27c | 221.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…3887backed Over | 73c | 221.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…9becbacked Under | 50c | 210.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…3057backed Under | 50c | 210.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed Under | 50c | 209.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe960…ea22backed Under | 50c | 206.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked Under | 50c | 205.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…abbdbacked Under | 50c | 201.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…8c69backed Under | 50c | 201.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed Under | 50c | 194.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…872bbacked Under | 50c | 193.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…8be9backed Under | 50c | 192.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…f72ebacked Under | 50c | 189.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…821dbacked Under | 50c | 189.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked Under | 50c | 189.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…8031backed Under | 50c | 178.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…06d2backed Under | 50c | 178.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 22c | 177.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 159.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 26c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 35.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.