Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c0b3a7c5528948f4fd48241c534f4dbef6d458051f151e4eb41c5e92fc1c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wrexham AFCof Wrexham AFC, Stoke City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wrexham AFC | 57c | 657.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stoke City FC | 71c | 624.99$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Stoke City FC | 31c | 565$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbe…ced7backed Wrexham AFC | 29c | 564.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Stoke City FC | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…a5cbbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 211.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…0d38backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 209.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…88e5backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 207.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e6…8431backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 206.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…d733backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…8302backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…fd48backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…13f0backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…24fbbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…2838backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…3768backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…e0fabacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…0fadbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…d917backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…97cdbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 204.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…4bc6backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 203.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d448backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 203.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa876…ed40backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 203.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…adbfbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 203.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…a834backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 203.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…0579backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 203.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 200.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…74bfbacked Stoke City FC | 49c | 199.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…0142backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 198.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2ff7backed Stoke City FC | 49c | 197.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Wrexham AFC | 28c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Wrexham AFC | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Stoke City FC | 69c | 117.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Wrexham AFC | 31c | 107.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stoke City FC | 16c | 101.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wrexham AFC | 31c | 90.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Wrexham AFC | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Stoke City FC | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed Stoke City FC | 31c | 45.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)this page
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.