Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a94c0c271364a744b2bcc8d584037eb93c99f2ce5e919bbfd73fd093bfa009a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 998.13$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…bb4abacked No | 47c | 219$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fc…2653backed Yes | 53c | 214.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…7309backed No | 47c | 211$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…7031backed Yes | 53c | 209.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…591fbacked No | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…042dbacked Yes | 53c | 205.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e61…056fbacked No | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…d24cbacked Yes | 53c | 202.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…d64abacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…895cbacked Yes | 53c | 199.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…0a3ebacked No | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…b821backed Yes | 53c | 195.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…3650backed Yes | 53c | 195.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b746backed Yes | 53c | 194.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…48bbbacked Yes | 53c | 192.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…3b30backed No | 47c | 191$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…5cc0backed Yes | 53c | 190.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x244c…0685backed No | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…129abacked No | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…189abacked No | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 39.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.