Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e65dc08146f299c6ce6a07d942a71c793021e35420ac5f1feaca1611d079bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 30c | 1,429$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.49 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…ee3ebacked No | 2c | 1,031$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 68c | 882.52$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 50c | 650.05$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 33c | 645.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 69c | 572.62$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.37 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed No | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…5585backed No | 51c | 515.21$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…6f98backed Yes | 79c | 424.77$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 59c | 424.34$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 58c | 391.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Yes | 76c | 385.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Yes | 71c | 380.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 70c | 370.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 35c | 270.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…fef1backed Yes | 40c | 224.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…824cbacked Yes | 75c | 223.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 42c | 216.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…8e17backed Yes | 68c | 208.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 203.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 42c | 191.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 33c | 187.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 56c | 171$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 58c | 170.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Yes | 72c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 28c | 144.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…1e8bbacked Yes | 60c | 141.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 50c | 140.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 139.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 37c | 135.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 28c | 134.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 59c | 134.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 27c | 133.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 42c | 131.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 199 | 37.7%75 W · 124 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 60c | 123.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…a90ebacked Yes | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 64c | 118.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 31c | 106.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…4e72backed No | 38c | 106.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…5fc8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…7b9abacked No | 53c | 98.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 36c | 94.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…28e6backed Yes | 67c | 94.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 43c | 93.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 23c | 89.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked Yes | 69c | 87.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…f5dfbacked Yes | 69c | 86.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 81.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…c141backed Yes | 60c | 78.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 69c | 73.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 65c | 73.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…53efbacked Yes | 65c | 73.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…b8dabacked No | 52c | 71.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…9c0ebacked Yes | 56c | 68.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…98ddbacked No | 31c | 65.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d38fbacked Yes | 70c | 61.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…56d7backed Yes | 70c | 57.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3eb2backed Yes | 72c | 55.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1043…253abacked No | 72c | 53.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…9820backed No | 41c | 53.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Yes | 63c | 52.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…bee5backed No | 34c | 49.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 44.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…34d5backed Yes | 71c | 44.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 59c | 44.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 40c | 42.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…f72dbacked No | 49c | 42.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 45c | 40.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b43…1894backed Yes | 69c | 39.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…94b4backed Yes | 58c | 39.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…4d3bbacked No | 49c | 38.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…7a0dbacked Yes | 66c | 38.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…cd8abacked No | 32c | 38.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 29c | 36.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…2635backed No | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…f9f6backed Yes | 57c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…7505backed Yes | 55c | 35.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 72c | 34.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…0058backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…328ebacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.