Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf782eae7344c5ced9b5c4e19bcc74486fcaceaf50063c7bea4bacb4d37c174ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 59c | 4,968$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.28 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 2,774$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.85 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 1,256$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.28 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 1,201$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.57 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,062$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.17 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 694.35$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.68 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 77c | 492.4$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 461.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 277.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 37c | 261.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 44c | 197.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Over | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 68c | 171.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 170.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 163.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 59c | 157.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 59c | 145.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 59c | 145.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 59c | 129.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 99.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 97.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 73c | 91.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 73c | 68.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 60.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 51c | 58.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 66c | 56.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 56c | 52.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 43c | 49.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 39c | 49.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 47.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 61c | 46.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 65c | 40.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 43c | 38.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 43c | 30.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 57c | 29.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 41c | 28.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 59c | 26.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 42c | 26.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…76e9backed Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 23.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…7ae8backed Over | 56c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…3655backed Over | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.