Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda719e9f0ddde28f2699ff1e1eb9327277c8bcd6a81e70fea880ba86225c724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 54c | 5,963$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.67 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 60c | 3,572$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 2,218$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.71 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 1,986$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.43 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,390$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.45 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,329$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 58c | 1,219$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.7 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 1,130$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.72 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 1c | 1,031$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 52c | 767.76$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.81 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 686.76$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 50c | 644.52$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…345bbacked Under | 74c | 516.56$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 36c | 505.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 53c | 409.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 29c | 402.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 316.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Under | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 76c | 291.79$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 265.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 259.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 216.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 49c | 197.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 46c | 185.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 146.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 38c | 141.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Under | 49c | 140.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 137.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 114.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 52c | 104.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 46c | 104.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…5256backed Over | 23c | 103.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 51c | 101.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 70c | 99.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Under | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 94.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…3c11backed Under | 77c | 90.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 87.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 87.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 60c | 68.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 79c | 48.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 48.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 53c | 46.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 52c | 45.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Under | 45c | 44.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 67c | 44.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 53c | 42.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 47c | 39.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Over | 36c | 39.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 36.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed Over | 53c | 36.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 34.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 34.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 45c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 51c | 28.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 61c | 28.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 52c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Under | 49c | 21.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 20.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 63c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.