Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159304cb11a07e2b860bb889bc0d4c514ce5d2b72442348c4f61d57402b53553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 3,762$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.34 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 75c | 2,532$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,893$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 1,368$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.83 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,040$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Over | 9c | 875.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 59c | 660.24$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 417.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 42c | 403$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 29c | 330$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 302.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 276.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 53c | 257.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 72c | 228.47$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 55c | 182.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Under | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 54c | 127.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 49c | 111.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 40c | 99.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 93.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 48c | 90.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 73.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 35c | 71.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 75c | 64.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 61.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 61.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 60.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Under | 53c | 56.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 46.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Over | 44c | 34.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 33.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 43c | 32.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Under | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 71c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.